Every year around this time, everyone is a prognosticator. Everyone is looking for what the key games are going to be, who the best players are going to be, and who is going to be a contender and a pretender.

We also have a lot of people who feel the need to rank a bunch of teams who haven't played a game and have many players who have never started more than a game or two over the course of a grinding season.

As I wrote about a few weeks back, the pollsters are not only rarely right, they usually aren't close. The same can be said about the predictors and those trying to read into the future abo...

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