Most of the population is going to pick Kentucky to win the national championship. If you're a basketball fan, your eyes should tell you that's a logical pick. If you wait until March to tune in, every college basketball analyst who is being honest and not trying to be different is saying Kentucky is the clear favorite.

There's just one issue with trusting our eyes and perception. Observatory bias exists.

That's why every year I like to run the teams through a series of qualifications that I came up with by studying the champions dating back to 2003. This doesn't disqualify a team because I think it's lousy or maybe I caught it in...

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