Let me start by introducing myself: I am a statistician by profession, as well as a computer programmer and football analyst.  Two years ago, I began researching game theory and how to predict college football games.  For the 2008 and 2009 season, I created an algorithm based on similar games model to predict the winner of each FBS vs. FBS game as well as prediction against the spread.

My similar games model takes six years of data to rank each of the 120 FBS football teams.  A team is ranked based on how they fare against how they should fare.  For example, based on a team's rank and whether they are home or away will det...

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